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Monday the 2nd of February 09:30 ET Canadian Manufacturing PMI for January The Canadian Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers’ Index) is a monthly survey-based indicator published by S&P Global that gauges activity in Canada’s manufacturing sector. A reading above 50 signals expansion, while below 50 indicates contraction. It combines data on output, new orders, employment, supplier deliveries, and inventories to provide an early signal of industrial sector health and trends in business conditions. Summary of Last Report In December 2025, Canada’s manufacturing sector remained in contraction, with the PMI around 48.6, slightly up from prior months but still below the neutral 50 threshold. Output and new orders continued to decline, reflecting ongoing headwinds from weak demand and uncertainty tied to trade and global conditions, although the pace of contraction eased marginally. Employment trends remained subdued, and business confidence for future output softened. What to Expect Canada Stocks If the January PMI comes in above expectations (i.e., a stronger-than-forecast reading or a move back toward/above 50), Canadian equity markets, especially industrials and materials, could receive a lift, as it would signal improving manufacturing conditions and broader growth momentum. A weaker reading would likely weigh on these sectors by reinforcing the narrative of manufacturing weakness and softer economic activity. Canadian Dollar (CAD) A stronger-than-expected PMI would likely support the Canadian dollar, as it would point to firmer domestic economic activity and potentially help sustain a less dovish policy outlook from the Bank of Canada. Conversely, a weaker PMI print could pressure the CAD by suggesting ongoing weakness in one of Canada’s key economic sectors. Government of Canada Bond Yields If the PMI surprises to the upside, yields on Government of Canada bonds could rise (prices fall) as markets adjust expectations toward stronger growth and less need for mone

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