manifold.markets的 10 大竞争对手

polymarket.com

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, allowing you to stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on future events across various topics.

predictionhunt.com

Browse resolved prediction markets with full price history and final results.

metaculus.com

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform and aggregation engine working to improve human reasoning and coordination on topics of global importance.

lesswrong.com

A community blog devoted to refining the art of rationality

astralcodexten.com

P(A|B) = [P(A)*P(B|A)]/P(B), all the rest is commentary. Click to read Astral Codex Ten, by Scott Alexander, a Substack publication.

realclearpolling.com

2024 Arizona Senate - Lake vs. Gallego | RealClearPolling

forum.effectivealtruism.org

> My goal is to help people remove guilt-based motivation entirely, and replace it with intrinsic motivation. I'm aiming to both reduce the frequency of Netflix binges and reduce the bad feelings that follow. I'm aiming to help people feel like they're still worthwhile human beings if they stop working before they literally drop. A sequence about replacing guilt with other feelings and finding better ways to self-motivate, so that you can build a better future without falling apart in the process. > When all is said and done, Nature will not judge us by our actions; we will be measured only by what actually happens. Our goal, in the end, is to ensure that the timeless history of our universe is one that is filled with whatever it is we're fighting for. For me, at least, this is the underlying driver that takes the place of guilt: Once we have learned our lessons from the past, there is no reason to wrack ourselves with guilt. All we need to do, in any given moment, is look upon the actions available to us, consider, and take whichever one seems most likely to lead to a future full of light. Originally posted on Minding Our Way. There's also an official audio version.

epoch.ai

Read how Epoch AI collects, uses, and protects personal information.

nel.ag

galen mead's interweb domain site.

poker.org

The new Moneymaker Poker Tour announces a 12-day visit to Hard Rock Casino Cincinnati, September 21 to October 2, 2023.