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wmo.int

As of mid-August 2025, oceanic and atmospheric indicators continue to reflect ENSO-neutral conditions, which have persisted since March 2025, with sea surface temperature anomalies remaining near average across the equatorial Pacific. However, these conditions are likely to gradually make way for La Niña conditions to emerge in the coming months, potentially starting in September 2025. According to the latest forecasts from the WMO Global Producing Centres for Seasonal Prediction, there is a 55% chance for sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific to cool to La Niña levels, and a 45% chance for them to remain at ENSO-neutral levels during the upcoming September–November 2025 period. For October– December 2025, the probability of La Niña establishment slightly increases to about 60%, while the chances for ENSO-neutral conditions to persist decrease to around 40%. The chances of El Niño developing during the September–December period are negligible. National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) will closely monitor changes in the state of ENSO over the coming months and provide updated outlooks as needed. Factsheet: El Niño/La Niña Update (August 2025)

gewex.org

Subscribe to GEWEX’s E-News and GEWEX Quarterly Newsletter Our GEWEX E-News is published about once a month, and includes the latest calls for papers, position announcements, data set releases, and news of interest. The GEWEX Quarterly is published online four times a year and contains scientific articles, research results, new projects and project updates,

solas-int.org

the international surface ocean - lower atmosphere study (solas) project is an international research initiative aiming to understand the key biogeochemical-physical interactions and feedbacks between the ocean and atmosphere, solas, summer, school, open science conference

wcrp-climate.org

the aims of wcrp is to facilitate analysis and prediction of earth system variability and change for use in an increasing range of practical applications of di

ioc-goos.org

goos is a permanent global system for observations, modeling, and analysis of marine and ocean data

start.org

Start.org

seaice.de

sea ice remote sensing information resources